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Jild 3 Son 14 (2026)
Umumkasbiy fanlar

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TUPROQLI TO'G'ONLARNING DEFORMATSION XAVFSIZLIGINI BAHOLASHNING KO'P DARAJALI MEZONLAR TIZIMI VA ERTA OGOHLANTIRISH ALGORITMI (TO'POLON TO'G'ONI MISOLIDA)

DOI 10.63294/isja/vol3iss14/309 Google Scholar Scholar’da qidirish Betlar 34-43

Nashr qilingan 2026-10-08

Mualliflar
Abdukarimov M.M.
Tashkilot
Alfraganus universiteti, Turizm fakulteti, Umumkasbiy fanlar kafedrasi katta o’qituvchisi
ALFRAGANUS — Vol. 3, Issue 14 (2026), Umumkasbiy fanlar
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Annotatsiya

Zamonaviy monitoring vositalari to'g'on deformatsiyasini millimetr aniqligida qayd etish imkonini bergani bilan, o'lchash natijasining o'zi hali inshoot holatini baholash degani emas: xom qiymatni xavfsizlik to'g'risidagi qarorga aylantirish uchun rasmiylashtirilgan mezonlar tizimi talab etiladi. Maqolada tuproqli to'g'onlarning deformatsion xavfsizligini baholashning uch darajali mezonlar tizimi taklif etilgan: metrologik daraja (o'lchangan siljishning statistik haqiqiyligini tekshirish), normativ daraja (mutlaq chegaraviy qiymatlar bilan solishtirish) va kinematik daraja (deformatsiya tezligi hamda tezlanishi bo'yicha tasniflash). Tizim asosida bosqichma-bosqich erta ogohlantirish algoritmi ishlab chiqilgan va u To'polon tuproqli to'g'onining (Surxondaryo viloyati) haqiqiy monitoring ma'lumotlariga tatbiq etilgan. Hisob-kitoblar shuni ko'rsatdiki, to'g'on tojidagi GNSS-3 stansiyasida qayd etilgan 28 mm gorizontal siljish birlashtirilgan o'rtacha kvadratik xatolikning uch karrasidan (3σ_L = 8,49 mm) sezilarli darajada oshadi va statistik jihatdan haqiqiy deformatsiya sifatida tasniflanadi; ayni paytda u ICOLD tavsiya etgan 30 mm chegaraviy qiymatning 93 % ini tashkil etadi. Radiolokatsion interferometriya bo'yicha yuklanmagan quyi b'ef qiyaligida aniqlangan 30,94 mm/yil tezlik oylik ifodada 2,58 mm/oy ga teng bo'lib, taklif etilgan tasnifda "nazorat" darajasiga tushadi. Natijalar mezonlarni faqat mutlaq qiymatga emas, balki tezlik va tezlanishga bog'lash zarurligini, shuningdek chegaraviy qiymatlarni inshootning individual xususiyatlariga moslashtirish lozimligini ko'rsatadi.

Kalit so'zlar

to'g'on xavfsizligi, deformatsiya mezonlari, statistik ishonchlilik, deformatsiya tezligi, erta ogohlantirish, tuproqli to'g'on, ICOLD, To'polon to'g'oni

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